Someone’s gotta be hurting … spot prices down below –$100/MWh in South Australia for hours
A short note with this snapshot from NEMwatch at 11:00 (NEM time) on Sunday 11th October 2026, to highlight some very negative spot prices in South Australia.
South Australia
Pre-PEC gremlins strike … AEMO notes ‘Suspect Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the SA Region on 01/10/2026’
It was spurious, but worth noting that the AEMO published MN145396 at 13:10 (NEM time) on Tuesday - noting forecast LOR3 (load shedding) in South Australia on Thursday morning (1st October 2026).
AEMO’s MT PASA run flags shortfalls forecast for VIC and SA (but the devil is in the details)
In anticipation of this month's release of the 2026 ESOO, a short article noting the forecast shortfalls flagged in this Tuesday's updated MT PASA modelling via MN144738 published at 14:52 (NEM time) on Tue 4th August 2026.
A first look at battery operation in South Australia through recent elevated pricing (29th to 31st July 2026)
There are some intriguing differences between battery (bidding and) operations during the recent spell of low wind in South Australia (late July 2026) and what happened in late June 2026.
Elevated prices in South Australia through the day on Thursday 30th July 2026
It’s Thursday evening 30th July 2026 as we approach the end of a day when my phone has been buzzing fairly consistently through the day with spot prices above $500/MWh in the South Australian region.
A down year: a review of Q2 2026 spot prices
This is the 2026 edition of our annual review into Q2 spot prices, where we find that average prices fell sharply in all NEM regions compared to Q2 2025, but more importantly, duration curves are changing shape.
Price spike (for Raise 1 second FCAS) in South Australia on Wednesday 8th July 2026
A short article to record the elevated price alert received from ez2view for the 13:45 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Wednesday 8th July 2026.
How long was that Wind Lull in South Australia in June 2026?
With the wind having awoken in South Australia (late Wednesday 24th June 2026), we ask how long it was asleep for.
How bad is the current Wind Lull in South Australia, compared to history
I wonder ... if the current 4-day 'Wind Lull' in South Australia is worse than any 4-day stint in South Australia during that infamous NEM-wide wind lull in 2024 Q2?
(The start of) a retrospective on Battery Operations in South Australia in recent days
I assume a number of different stakeholders* are conducting their own retrospectives of large-scale** battery operations in South Australia over the recent windless (and quite volatile) days. Here's some questions.
Wednesday morning 24th June 2026 and elevated prices continue in SA
It’s Wednesday morning 24th June 2026 and my pre-configured alerts delivered to ez2view Mobile have been busy – with the arrival of morning prices in South Australia above $500/MWh.
A summary of bidding in South Australia over 4 days (including the volatility)
Following up on the elevated prices in South Australia, here's a summary of bidding across four days - Friday 19th June 2026 to Monday 22nd June 2026
~72 hours becalmed in South Australia
On Saturday 20th June 2026, aggregate wind yield fell in South Australia ... and has remained low since that time (into Tuesday 23rd June 2026)
Stubborn forecast LOR2 for South Australia on Wednesday 10th June 2026
Over three successive market notices since Sunday 7th June 2026, the AEMO’s been forecasting a LOR2 condition for South Australia for this Wednesday 10th June 2026.
‘Running on Empty’ … a reminder of the implications of Shallow Storage
The past few days in South Australia have revealed some of the underlying implications of the current ‘shallow storage only’ approach to new energy storage asset development in this Energy Transition.
A quick recap on yesterday evening’s bidding in South Australia with the volatility (Tue 6th Jan 2026)
Yesterday evening we briefly noted 'Spot price volatility in South Australia on Tuesday evening 6th January 2026'. Today we take a quick look at bidding.
Large drop in ‘Market Demand’ (amidst oscillation) in SA on Saturday morning 3rd January 2026
A 296MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia in a 5 minute period this morning was outside of the ‘normally expected’ bounds.
How low will it go … an updated look at forecast for ‘Market Demand’ in VIC and SA on Thursday 1st January 2026
It was a little over 38 hours ago that that we published ‘Forecast for coincident MSL2 on Thursday 1st January 2026 (in Victoria and South Australia)’. So we take an updated look at forecast for 'Market Demand' on Thursday 1st Jan 2026.
New lowest points for ‘Market Demand’ in both VIC and SA on Thursday 25th December 2025 (Christmas Day)
Cool and clear conditions in the south of the NEM sees new 'lowest ever' points for Market Demand established in both VIC and SA on Thursday 25th December 2025.
Yo-yo-ing of ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia – on Wednesday 10th December 2025
Whilst today saw the release of the draft 2026 ISP, some 'challenges of the future' are already here today - such as the increasingly large and common gyrations in 'Market Demand' seen in South Australia on Wednesday 10th December 2025.